Weather impacts for holiday travel… but rewarded on Christmas day

After a relatively quite and nice weather pattern… it appears “Christmas Week” will bring some rain and possibly some thunderstorms.

Holiday travel will be impacted across the southeast beginning this weekend with an increase in scattered rain…. and continuing into early next week with two “storm” systems.

AAA: 98.6 MILLION AMERICANS TRAVELING THIS HOLIDAY SEASON, FOUR PERCENT MORE THAN LAST YEAR

Monday we will see a low begin to develop as it crosses central and northern Florida… before then moving off to the northeast. That system will bring rain to Jacksonville.

Then, on Tuesday, we will see a cold front approach the area late in the day…with showers and possible some storms along and ahead of front. That rain/storm threat will linger into early Wednesday before the actual frontal passage early on Wednesday.

Here is one of the forecast models (GFS) for Tuesday/Wednesday and into Christmas day. It should be noted that the European model (ECMWF) is a bit more vigorous with the strength of the rain/storms on Tuesday night/early Wednesday.

GFS model 500 mb early Wednesday morning becomes negatively tilted.
GFS model 500 mb early Wednesday morning shows the upper level trough becoming negatively tilted.
GFS model precip for early Wednesday shows the cold front moving through the area.
GFS model precip for early Wednesday shows the cold front moving through the area.
GFS model 500 mb becomes more zonal for Christmas day.
GFS model 500 mb becomes more zonal for Christmas day.
GFS model shows a dry scenario for Christmas day in NE Florida/SE Georgia.
GFS model shows a dry scenario for Christmas day in NE Florida/SE Georgia.

So… with drier air and high pressure building in for Christmas day…it looks to be dry!… and slightly cooler.

It will be a nice reward after an active week, weather wise.

We will be monitoring the active weather pattern over the coming days. Keep tuned to the First Alert Weather Team for more on the impact to your holiday travel plans.

I will see you on TV on CBS47 and FOX30 Action News!

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