Can you believe it is already time for Thanksgiving? Well it is here. Millions of us will be hitting the road to travel to our holiday destinations.
Weather will be a travel issue along the east coast.
The culprit…a coastal low moving from the Gulf of Mexico up through the Carolinas. Rain could start as early as Tuesday morning. We will take it. Columbia Metro Airport is -0.72″ of rain behind for the month.
Here is the GFS model at 1pm Tuesday.
Here is the NAM 4km model for 3pm Tuesday afternoon. It should be noted…we can’t rule out a clap of thunder in the eastern half of the state. Depends on the track of the coastal low.
The bulk of the rain will move out overnight Tuesday into Wednesday. However, some will still remain until drier air moves in Wednesday late morning/afternoon. Here is the GFS model at 1am Wednesday
I believe all of the liquid falling over the Midlands will be in the form of rain. Temperatures will remain above freezing. Here are the SREF plumes for precipitation type. There is a very small opportunity on the backside of this system Wednesday late afternoon/evening to see a flurry in the northern Midlands. No accumulations expected.
So all-in-all, the Midlands could see 1-2 inches of rain through Wednesday morning. It depends on the track of the coastal low.
If you are leaving after work on Tuesday to head to a relatives house…it will be messy. Allow extra time on the roads. Temperatures will be in the mid/upper 40s for daytime highs.
If you are leaving on Wednesday afternoon, it will be fine in South Carolina. Rain will remain along the Mid-Atlantic states and into the Northeast as the low moves north. Snow along the Appalachian Mountains thanks to northwest flow.
Thanksgiving Day looks to be mostly sunny with temperatures in the upper-40s for the Midlands. However, if you are going shopping for “Black Friday,” it will be chilly with lows Friday morning in the mid-20s.
Coming back home to South Carolina will be much better. High pressure will control our forecast. Thus, expect mostly sunny conditions.
Will have updates on Good Day Columbia from 5-9am on your travel forecast.
Hope you have a great Thanksgiving!
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